tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Grand Rapids via Baltimore: arrives on time 32%

  1. 18:00 MSP → 21:25 BWI
    WN 2963 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 57% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 BWI → 00:22 GRR +1 day
    WN 4373 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 56% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 20mMSP 18:00 to GRR 00:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.