tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:25 DAL → 08:10 LAS
    WN 2964 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 LAS → 11:10 SMF
    WN 1122 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 45mDAL 07:25 to SMF 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.