tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Reno via Las Vegas: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:35 SAN → 08:15 LAS
    WN 2970 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:12 LAS → 10:38 RNO
    WN 3179 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip3h 57mSAN 06:35 to RNO 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.