tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via St Louis: arrives on time 82%

  1. 07:45 MSP → 09:15 STL
    WN 2973 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 STL → 13:25 TPA
    WN 3986 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 40mMSP 07:45 to TPA 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.