tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Las Vegas via St Louis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:40 MSP → 19:10 STL
    WN 2974 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 STL → 23:18 LAS
    WN 3936 · Southwest · 3h 28m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 38mMSP 17:40 to LAS 23:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.