tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New Orleans via St Louis: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:40 MSP → 19:10 STL
    WN 2974 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 STL → 23:35 MSY
    WN 3964 · Southwest · 1h 48m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 58mMSP 17:40 to MSY 23:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.