tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Orlando via Austin: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:05 MSY → 07:30 AUS
    WN 2976 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Austin (AUS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:42 AUS → 14:45 MCO
    F9 4524 · Frontier · 2h 51m · 80% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 28mMSY 06:05 to MCO 14:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.