tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Kansas City via Nashville: arrives on time 14%

  1. 15:00 MSY → 16:35 BNA
    WN 2983 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 BNA → 19:10 MCI
    WN 562 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 10mMSY 15:00 to MCI 19:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.