tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Boston via Baltimore: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:55 MSY → 21:30 BWI
    WN 2986 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 BWI → 00:10 BOS +1 day
    WN 892 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 56% on time, 8.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (8.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 10mMSY 17:55 to BOS 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.