tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Seattle via Denver: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:10 MSY → 06:55 DEN
    WN 2991 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:45 DEN → 09:45 SEA
    WN 1713 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 35mMSY 05:10 to SEA 09:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.