tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → St Louis via Denver: arrives on time 22%

  1. 15:00 SMF → 18:20 DEN
    WN 2993 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 DEN → 22:28 STL
    WN 1756 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 40% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip5h 30mSMF 15:00 to STL 22:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.