tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Myrtle Beach via Baltimore: arrives on time 38%

  1. 13:25 BNA → 16:15 BWI
    WN 2994 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 BWI → 18:35 MYR
    WN 4367 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 64% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 10mBNA 13:25 to MYR 18:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.