tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Raleigh/Durham via Dallas: arrives on time 23%

  1. 13:30 HOU → 14:40 DAL
    WN 30 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 76% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 DAL → 19:15 RDU
    WN 1389 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip4h 45mHOU 13:30 to RDU 19:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.