tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Bozeman via Denver: arrives on time 27%

  1. 18:20 ATL → 19:40 DEN
    WN 3002 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DEN → 22:58 BZN
    WN 1505 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 46% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 35mATL 18:20 to BZN 22:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.