tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Tucson via Denver: arrives on time 28%

  1. 18:20 ATL → 19:40 DEN
    WN 3002 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 DEN → 22:02 TUS
    WN 4313 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 51% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tucson is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 40mATL 18:20 to TUS 22:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.