tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → New York via Dallas: arrives on time 16%

  1. 11:00 OAK → 16:25 DAL
    WN 3014 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 DAL → 22:22 LGA
    WN 4852 · Southwest · 3h 22m · 19% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (19%).
Total trip8h 22mOAK 11:00 to LGA 22:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.