tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Seattle via Chicago: arrives on time 50%

  1. 08:00 CVG → 08:05 MDW
    WN 3016 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 MDW → 13:10 SEA
    WN 1340 · Southwest · 4h 30m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip8h 10mCVG 08:00 to SEA 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.