tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 08:00 CVG → 08:05 MDW
    WN 3016 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 MDW → 12:55 PHX
    WN 4189 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 55mCVG 08:00 to PHX 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.