tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 08:00 CVG → 08:05 MDW
    WN 3016 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MDW → 11:55 PHL
    WN 4901 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip3h 55mCVG 08:00 to PHL 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.