tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tulsa via Phoenix: arrives on time 76%

  1. 08:40 MDW → 10:20 PHX
    WN 3016 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:45 PHX → 17:09 TUL
    AA 3826 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 24m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 29mMDW 08:40 to TUL 17:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.