tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 67%

  1. 08:40 MDW → 10:20 PHX
    WN 3016 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 PHX → 12:45 LAX
    WN 4602 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 75% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 05mMDW 08:40 to LAX 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.