tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Philadelphia via St Louis: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:45 MSY → 09:35 STL
    WN 3020 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in St Louis (STL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:16 STL → 14:36 PHL
    AA 2720 · American · 2h 19m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 50mMSY 07:45 to PHL 14:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.