tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Washington via Austin: arrives on time 56%

  1. 05:30 OAK → 10:55 AUS
    WN 3034 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 AUS → 16:40 DCA
    WN 281 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip8h 10mOAK 05:30 to DCA 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.