tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Chicago via Austin: arrives on time 56%

  1. 05:30 OAK → 10:55 AUS
    WN 3034 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:25 AUS → 15:55 MDW
    WN 359 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 59% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip8h 25mOAK 05:30 to MDW 15:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.