tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Miami via Austin: arrives on time 47%

  1. 05:30 OAK → 10:55 AUS
    WN 3034 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:48 AUS → 15:38 MIA
    WN 362 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 67% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 08mOAK 05:30 to MIA 15:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.