tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Minneapolis via Las Vegas: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:40 PHX → 07:50 LAS
    WN 3039 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 95% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:32 LAS → 14:40 MSP
    DL 2261 · Delta · 3h 08m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip6h 00mPHX 06:40 to MSP 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.