tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Washington via Denver: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:45 OAK → 09:15 DEN
    WN 3041 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:26 DEN → 16:59 DCA
    F9 688 · Frontier · 3h 32m · 78% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 13mOAK 05:45 to DCA 16:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.