tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → New York via Denver: arrives on time 48%

  1. 05:45 OAK → 09:15 DEN
    WN 3041 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 DEN → 16:55 LGA
    WN 4441 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 51% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip8h 10mOAK 05:45 to LGA 16:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.