tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Baltimore via Denver: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:25 OAK → 16:50 DEN
    WN 3043 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 DEN → 23:40 BWI
    WN 1499 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip7h 15mOAK 13:25 to BWI 23:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.