tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 35%

  1. 13:25 OAK → 16:50 DEN
    WN 3043 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 DEN → 00:15 MDW +1 day
    WN 1615 · Southwest · 2h 22m · 36% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip8h 47mOAK 13:25 to MDW 00:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.