tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Miami via Baltimore: arrives on time 24%

  1. 18:10 RIC → 19:10 BWI
    WN 3049 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 16% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 BWI → 23:15 MIA
    WN 235 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 50% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 05mRIC 18:10 to MIA 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.