tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Detroit via Baltimore: arrives on time 57%

  1. 18:10 RIC → 19:10 BWI
    WN 3049 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 16% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 BWI → 00:20 DTW +1 day
    WN 942 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 68% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 05mRIC 18:10 to DTW 00:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.