tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Las Vegas via Los Angeles: arrives on time 26%

  1. 16:00 OAK → 17:25 LAX
    WN 3053 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 LAX → 19:35 LAS
    WN 2404 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip3h 35mOAK 16:00 to LAS 19:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.