tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:15 MDW → 10:05 ATL
    WN 3054 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:59 ATL → 16:28 JFK
    DL 1575 · Delta · 2h 29m · 77% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 13mMDW 07:15 to JFK 16:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.