tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 89%

  1. 23:55 OAK → 06:00 MDW
    WN 3059 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 MDW → 11:10 DCA +1 day
    WN 2569 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip8h 15mOAK 23:55 to DCA 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.