tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dallas via Houston: arrives on time 37%

  1. 10:25 PHX → 15:05 HOU
    WN 3067 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 HOU → 17:10 DAL
    WN 40 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 75% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 45mPHX 10:25 to DAL 17:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.