tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Midland via Houston: arrives on time 45%

  1. 10:25 PHX → 15:05 HOU
    WN 3067 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:05 HOU → 17:35 MAF
    WN 4995 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Midland is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 05mPHX 10:25 to MAF 17:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.