tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Phoenix via Kansas City: arrives on time 23%

  1. 15:55 DAL → 17:25 MCI
    WN 3068 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 58% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 MCI → 19:15 PHX
    WN 2580 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 41% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip5h 20mDAL 15:55 to PHX 19:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.