Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 17%

  1. 19:50 OAK → 21:50 PHX
    WN 3070 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 PHX → 00:08 LAX +1 day
    WN 868 · Southwest · 1h 22m · 50% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 17mOAK 19:50 to LAX 00:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.