tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Washington via San Diego: arrives on time 68%

  1. 08:05 OAK → 09:40 SAN
    WN 3074 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:42 SAN → 21:00 DCA
    AS 14 · Alaska · 5h 18m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 55mOAK 08:05 to DCA 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.