tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Boise via San Diego: arrives on time 20%

  1. 18:25 OAK → 20:00 SAN
    WN 3077 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 23% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 SAN → 00:22 BOI +1 day
    WN 644 · Southwest · 2h 18m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 58mOAK 18:25 to BOI 00:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.