tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Dallas via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 11:45 SEA → 18:00 MDW
    WN 3081 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 57% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 MDW → 22:55 DAL
    WN 1005 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 50% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip9h 10mSEA 11:45 to DAL 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.