tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Reno via San Diego: arrives on time 62%

  1. 05:52 MDW → 08:00 SAN
    WN 3103 · Southwest · 4h 08m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 SAN → 12:00 RNO
    WN 4954 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 08mMDW 05:52 to RNO 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.