tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oklahoma City → Seattle via Las Vegas: arrives on time 17%

  1. 20:32 OKC → 21:08 LAS
    WN 3119 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 41% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 LAS → 00:35 SEA +1 day
    WN 4196 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Oklahoma City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 03mOKC 20:32 to SEA 00:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.