tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oklahoma City → Austin via Orlando: arrives on time 43%

  1. 13:50 OKC → 17:35 MCO
    WN 3120 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 MCO → 20:30 AUS
    WN 4402 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 68% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 40mOKC 13:50 to AUS 20:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.