tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Santa Rosa via Las Vegas: arrives on time 19%

  1. 12:50 BUR → 14:05 LAS
    WN 3124 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 88% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 LAS → 16:35 STS
    WN 2407 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip3h 45mBUR 12:50 to STS 16:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.