tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Nashville via Las Vegas: arrives on time 26%

  1. 12:50 BUR → 14:05 LAS
    WN 3124 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 88% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:52 LAS → 20:30 BNA
    WN 4395 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 47mBUR 12:50 to BNA 20:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.