tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via Las Vegas: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:50 RNO → 14:10 LAS
    WN 314 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 84% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:05 LAS → 21:45 MDW
    WN 2274 · Southwest · 3h 38m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 53mRNO 12:50 to MDW 21:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.