tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Miami via Nashville: arrives on time 40%

  1. 09:45 ONT → 15:35 BNA
    WN 3142 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 54% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 BNA → 22:35 MIA
    WN 4575 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip9h 50mONT 09:45 to MIA 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.