tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Baltimore via Denver: arrives on time 18%

  1. 14:30 ONT → 17:40 DEN
    WN 3147 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 24% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 DEN → 00:35 BWI +1 day
    WN 1500 · Southwest · 3h 28m · 28% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip7h 03mONT 14:30 to BWI 00:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.